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A HackerNoon poll found 25% of developers started dozens of side projects but completed zero. 17% shipped a couple but have many dead projects. Polymarket gives Workhorse a 50% bankruptcy chance before 2026, Beyond Meat 33%, and Lucid 31%. Kalshi predicts an 83% chance over 750 companies go bankrupt this year.
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Summary by ByteBrief
The Sub-5% Club: The Terminal State of Software