FinanceNYT Technologyabout 3 hours ago
Prediction Markets Face Midterm Accuracy Test
16 min read
On November 3, Polymarket and Kalshi face a major accuracy test as traders settle 2026 midterm predictions. Polymarket lists 500 active markets with over $46.8 million volume, while Reuters reported $220 million wagered across both platforms through September 30. The platforms differ by two to three points on House and Senate control probabilities.
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