DevMarkTechPostabout 2 hours ago
Agentic Coding vs Junior Engineers: Four Conditions
8 min read
METR's time-horizon research shows model task success doubling every seven months, but OpenAI retired SWE-bench Verified in February 2026 after finding flawed test cases and contamination. A METR randomized trial found developers were 19% slower with AI despite forecasting 24% speedup. Stanford ADP data shows 19% employment shortfall for young workers in AI-exposed occupations.
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