AIMarginal Revolutionabout 1 hour ago
Some fertility and AI forecasts
2 min read
A 2024 forecast predicts China's 2100 global GDP share falling from 25.6% to 14.9%, while the US share rises from 11.2% to 14.4%. The projection entails 10% lower global GDP and far higher payroll tax rates for old-age benefits.
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