#polymarket Tech News.
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The latest polymarket news, distilled by AI into sharp ~100-word summaries. ByteBrief tracks polymarket across dozens of tech sources and brings you only what matters, updated hourly. Tap any story for the full brief, or open the original source.
Polymarket traders give SpaceX an 84% chance of closing above $1.8 trillion and a 69% chance of surpassing $2 trillion on its Nasdaq debut Friday. A $2 trillion valuation would require a 13% rally from the expected $1.77 trillion market cap. Only five U.S. companies currently exceed $2 trillion.
Blockchain prediction markets Polymarket and Ventuals assign SpaceX a $2 trillion valuation ahead of its Friday Nasdaq IPO, above the company's $1.77 trillion private valuation. Polymarket traders give a 64% chance the stock closes above $2 trillion on day one. The IPO tests whether it has drained risk capital from crypto.
A Rutgers study estimates US users funneled between $10.6 and $26.7 billion through Polymarket from May 2025 to April 2026, despite the platform being legally banned in the country. US traders accounted for roughly 30 percent of total volume and half of activity in sports markets.
Lawrence Lepard predicts bitcoin will reach $200,000 within two years, stating the bottom is near. Bitcoin trades around $63,000, down 50% from its $124,000-$126,000 all-time high. Polymarket traders assign only 2% odds to that target by end-2026. Lepard remains bullish on MicroStrategy despite a 67% share decline.
Summaries by ByteBrief